Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Servette in this match.