Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.