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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Saglam (69'), Dadasov (90')
Sinik (5'), Corekci (53'), Ghoulam (74'), Kardesler (81'), Demir (90+1'), Pedro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Macheda (84')
Belozoglu (0'), Cankaya (35'), Macheda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Ankaragucu

Although Pulat's side drew their last league game and ended a run of four successive losses, Hatayspor's recent form is still poor. Ankaragucu's away record is far from perfect, but they will likely be buoyed by the fact that victory at the Mersin Stadium would make them strong favourites for survival with just two games remaining. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
39.16% (0.055 0.05) 25.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 35.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)49.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)71.35% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.07% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)62.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 39.16%
    Ankaragucu 35.06%
    Draw 25.77%
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Ankaragucu
0-0
Hatayspor
Saglam (45+1'), Rivas (71')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Ankaragucu
4-1
Hatayspor
Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
El Kaabi (86' pen.)
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1382325141126
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor135351720-318
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa133641619-315
12KonyasporKonyaspor134361521-615
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor122551015-511
17Bodrumspor133281017-711
18Hatayspor121471119-87
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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