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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Saglam (69'), Dadasov (90')
Sinik (5'), Corekci (53'), Ghoulam (74'), Kardesler (81'), Demir (90+1'), Pedro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Macheda (84')
Belozoglu (0'), Cankaya (35'), Macheda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Ankaragucu

Although Pulat's side drew their last league game and ended a run of four successive losses, Hatayspor's recent form is still poor. Ankaragucu's away record is far from perfect, but they will likely be buoyed by the fact that victory at the Mersin Stadium would make them strong favourites for survival with just two games remaining. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
39.16% (0.055 0.05) 25.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 35.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)49.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)71.35% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.07% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)62.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 39.16%
    Ankaragucu 35.06%
    Draw 25.77%
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Ankaragucu
0-0
Hatayspor
Saglam (45+1'), Rivas (71')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Ankaragucu
4-1
Hatayspor
Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
El Kaabi (86' pen.)
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Fenerbahce107212391423
3Samsunspor1071220101022
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor103251220-811
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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