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Spurs logo
Premier League | Gameweek 1
Sep 13, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Everton logo

Spurs
0 - 1
Everton


Hojbjerg (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's opening-weekend Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur get their 2020-21 Premier League campaign underway on Sunday afternoon when they host Everton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Jose Mourinho will welcome his good friend and fellow managerial legend Carlo Ancelotti to North London with both clubs hoping for better campaigns than last season.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on August 22, 2020© Reuters

Those with a sense of deja-vu heading into this fixture will not be alone; this is the 11th time these two sides have met on the opening weekend of a top-flight season, which is three more than any other fixture.

The Tottenham curtain-raiser comes as football fans are given the chance to watch behind-the-scenes footage of their 2019-20 campaign play out on their TV screens, and the capital outfit will be hoping for a smoother journey on and off the pitch this time around.

A return to the top four must be their main goal for the season, but there is plenty of work to do if they are to bridge the seven-point gap which ultimately separated them from Chelsea last season - particularly given the improvement of some of the teams above them.

Mourinho will be the first to tell people that his squad was beset by injuries last season and he will be confident that lightning can't strike twice - at least not to such devastating effect - while he will also take encouragement from his side's progress after he took over.

A sixth-placed finish was not terrible considering they were 14th when Mourinho arrived, and a six-game unbeaten streak to end last season provides more cause for optimism.

Jose Mourinho and Carlo Ancelotti greet each other before the Tottenham vs. Everton game in July 2020© Reuters

That run began with victory over Everton at home to stretch their unbeaten streak against the Toffees to 15 games, going back to December 2012.

Everton's record away to Spurs is even worse; they have won just three of their 28 such games in the Premier League era - losing 17 - and the last of those wins came in November 2008, 11 visits ago.

Like Spurs, the Merseysiders have cause for optimism heading into the new campaign, though, having shown improvement under their own world-class manager and also done some eye-catching business during the summer.

James Rodriguez is the most high-profile signing as the former Real Madrid and Bayern Munich playmaker attempts to revive his career in the Premier League, adding a sprinkle of stardust to a team Ancelotti is slowly moulding into his own image.

A significant improvement on last season's 12th-placed finish is expected, and Ancelotti is confident enough to have publicly declared that he is targeting a top-six finish - something Everton have not achieved since 2013-14.

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 9, 2020© Reuters

Victory in North London over one of their top-six rivals would certainly be a good start towards that goal, particularly as Everton's away record last season left a lot to be desired - only the bottom five picked up fewer points on the road.

By contrast, Tottenham's home record was bettered only by Liverpool and Manchester City, including wins in their last four league games on their own turf.

Spurs have also been in encouraging form in pre-season with victories over Ipswich Town, Reading and Birmingham City, although defeat to Watford in their last warm-up game ruined their perfect record.

Everton, meanwhile, fell 3-0 down to Blackpool within 12 minutes of their opening pre-season game, but recovered to draw 3-3 and then beat Preston North End in their most recent friendly.

Tottenham Hotspur pre-season form: WWWL

Everton pre-season form: DW


Team News

Tottenham hotspur striker Harry Kane pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Tottenham have close to a clean bill of health for this match, with Japhet Tanganga the only confirmed absentee and Giovani Lo Celso the only minor doubt for the hosts.

Harry Kane - scorer of eight goals in his last five games against Everton - is fit to lead the line and Dele Alli is expected to support him in the number 10 role, while Steven Bergwijn will be pushing for a start ahead of Lucas Moura.

Summer signings Matt Doherty and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg are both expected to make their debuts for Mourinho's men.

Everton are not so lucky when it comes to injuries, with Mason Holgate, Cenk Tosun and Jean-Philippe Gbamin all still sidelined with problems carried over from last season.

The opener is also likely to come too soon for Fabian Delph, but Yerry Mina and Andre Gomes are fit to feature having recovered from slight injury concerns.

Toffees fans could be treated to all three of their major new signings starting the game, with Allan and Abdoulaye Doucoure likely to feature behind Rodriguez.

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Doherty, Alderweireld, Dier, Davies; Hojbjerg, Sissoko; Bergwijn, Alli, Son; Kane

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Keane, Mina, Digne; Gomes, Allan, Doucoure; Rodriguez; Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison


SM words green background

We say: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Everton

Everton have plenty of quality in their team now and look like a side capable of getting points from these type of matches as the season goes on.

However, at this stage it is difficult to look past the respective home and away records from last season, which both firmly point to a Tottenham win in this match.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:




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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Everton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Spurs and Everton?

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Everton
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Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 9, 2020
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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