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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 19, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Valladolid logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Real Valladolid

Ocampos (31' pen.)
Ocampos (59'), Gudelj (85'), de Jong (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Garcia (87')
Bruno (8'), Fede (30'), Orellana (43'), Maranhao (73')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Real Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sevilla will be eyeing their seventh La Liga victory of the season when they welcome lowly Real Valladolid to Estadio Ramon on Saturday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side, who have won their last three games in all competitions, are currently sixth in Spain's top flight, while Valladolid occupy 17th position and are just two points outside of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Real Madrid celebrate scoring against Sevilla in La Liga on December 5, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla have struggled for consistency in La Liga this season, winning six but losing four of their 11 matches, with a total of 19 points leaving them in sixth position in the table.

The Europa League holders are only three points behind fourth-placed Villarreal, though, and have two games in hand over the Yellow Submarine, while Barcelona are just a point above in fifth and have played one more match than Lopetegui's side.

Sevilla booked their spot in the knockout stage of the Champions League courtesy of finishing second behind Chelsea in Group E, while they advanced to the second round of the Copa del Rey on Tuesday night by recording a comfortable 3-0 victory away to Ciudad de Lucena.

Los Nervionenses have won four of their last five in the league, meanwhile, having recovered from a 1-0 home defeat to Real Madrid on December 5 with a win over Getafe last weekend.

Sevilla will be the favourites to pick up another three points on Saturday, and a victory would lead them nicely into back-to-back games against Valencia and Villarreal to end 2020.

Real Valladolid manager Sergio Gonzalez pictured on January 2020© Reuters

Valladolid, meanwhile, have picked up 13 points from their 13 matches this season to sit 17th in the table, two points clear of 18th-placed Levante, who have a game in hand.

The White and Violets finished 13th in Spain's top flight last term and will be determined to secure a third straight campaign at this level, but the early indications are that it could be a tough season.

Sergio Gonzalez's side have won four of their last six games in all competitions, though, including a 3-2 success at home to Osasuna in the league last weekend.

Valladolid also thumped Cantolagua 5-0 in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday night and will therefore enter this weekend's match in good form despite largely struggling for positive results this term.

Sevilla La Liga form: LWWWLW
Sevilla form (all competitions): WLLWWW

Real Valladolid La Liga form: LWWDLW
Real Valladolid form (all competitions): WWDLWW


Team News

Sevilla defender Jules Kounde pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Sevilla will again be without the services of Tomas Vaclik, Sergio Escudero and Munir El Haddadi through injury, but Jesus Navas should shake off a knock to start at right-back.

Youssef En-Nesyri is expected to get the nod over Luuk de Jong in the final third, while Suso is likely to join Lucas Ocampos in an attacking position, with Joan Jordan, Fernando and Ivan Rakitic in midfield.

Jules Kounde and Diego Carlos were both left out of the starting XI in the Copa del Rey earlier this week, but the pair should return to the side for Saturday's league contest.

As for Valladolid, Kiko Olivas and Saidy Janko are unavailable through injury, while Javi Sanchez and Kike Perez will face late fitness tests ahead of the contest.

Shon Weissman scored twice in his side's 3-2 win over Osasuna last weekend and should again join Maranhao in the final third, with Oscar Plano and Fabian Orellana operating in the wide areas.

Janko's absence will open the door for Pablo Hervias to feature at right-back, but Portuguese youngster Jota is expected to start on the bench once again.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Suso, En-Nesyri, Ocampos

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Hervias, Fernandez, Gonzalez, Nacho; Orellana, Alcaraz, Mesa, Plano; Weissman, Maranhao


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 2-0 Real Valladolid

Valladolid will enter this match in good form and will fancy their chances of causing Sevilla problems over the course of the 90 minutes. Sevilla's recent results have also been impressive, though, and we fancy Lopetegui's side to ease to a victory on Saturday night.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:426948:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9153:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sevilla vs Real Valladolid

Sevilla
88.6%
Draw
8.0%
Real Valladolid
3.4%
88
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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