Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.