Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 1
Venezia

Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pohjanpalo (44')
Ceppitelli (40')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: SPAL 0-1 Parma
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Venezia
49.85% ( -2.4)	26.42% ( 0.21)	23.73% ( 2.19)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.9% (

1.1)

57.1% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03% (

0.87)

77.98% (

-0.87)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

-0.59)

22.99% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21% (

-0.88)

56.79% (

0.88)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35% (

2.79)

39.65% (

-2.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67% (

2.49)

76.33% (

-2.49)

Score Analysis

Parma 49.85%

Venezia 23.73%

Draw 26.42%

Parma	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.79) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.73%