Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Lecco
60.55% ( 0.84)	22.22% ( -0.29)	17.24% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 49.27% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.51% (

0.36)

48.49% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.38% (

0.33)

70.62% (

-0.33)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

0.4)

15.58% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.46% (

0.74)

44.54% (

-0.74)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.36% (

-0.44)

41.64% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.88% (

-0.39)

78.12% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 60.54%

Lecco 17.24%

Draw 22.21%

Catanzaro	Draw	Lecco
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.54%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.24%