Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.