Ibiza have nothing left to play for and have a poor recent away record anyway, so Real Oviedo should ease to victory here as long as they do not let what is at stake distract them. Then it will be down to other results to decide whether they will get a shot at promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	UD Ibiza
54.11% ( -0.43)	24.01% ( 0.09)	21.87% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

49.67% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31%

71.68% (

-0)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.16)

18.26% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-0.27)

49.31% (

0.27)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

0.33)

37.26% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

0.33)

74.05% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 54.11%

UD Ibiza 21.87%

Draw 24.01%

Real Oviedo	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.87%