Segunda Division | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 2
Zaragoza

Nwakali (44')
Vallejo (40'), Abdulai (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simeone (12', 51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Real Zaragoza
39.73% ( 0.23)	27.12% ( -0.08)	33.15% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86% (

0.29)

55.14% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.24)

76.39% (

-0.24)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

0.27)

27.15% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

0.34)

62.54% (

-0.35)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.05)

31.14% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

0.06)

67.47% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 39.72%

Real Zaragoza 33.15%

Draw 27.12%

Ponferradina	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.72%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.15%