Segunda Division | Gameweek 21

Dec 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Alaves

Chavarria (51')
Burgos (33'), Zuniga (90+6')
Mel (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia Plaza (40'), Sedlar (40'), Moya (67'), Benavidez (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Malaga
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Levante
Monday, December 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Alaves
42.79% ( -0.19)	29.32% ( 0.13)	27.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 42.09% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.72% (

-0.38)

64.29% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.61% (

-0.27)

83.39% (

0.27)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.29)

29.85% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.36)

65.94% (

0.36)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60% (

-0.16)

40% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.35% (

-0.14)

76.65% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Malaga 42.78%

Alaves 27.9%

Draw 29.31%

Malaga	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 14.43% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.31%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.39% Total : 27.9%