Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 27.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.