Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Eldense1 - 2Leganes
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Leganes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alcorcon 0-0 Eldense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.79%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.9%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Eldense | Draw | Leganes |
28.02% ( -1.52) | 32.19% ( 0.38) | 39.79% ( 1.14) |
Both teams to score 35.67% ( -1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
27.97% ( -1.26) | 72.02% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
11.49% ( -0.79) | 88.5% ( 0.78) |
Eldense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.53% ( -2.05) | 44.46% ( 2.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.49% ( -1.71) | 80.5% ( 1.71) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% ( 0.01) | 35.77% ( -0.01) |