Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Extremadura had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Extremadura win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.