We expect Stirling to be highly motivated to leapfrog Dumbarton at the top of the Scottish League Two table, and they will take confidence from thrashing Forfar 4-1 earlier in the season. We expect a tighter match this time around, but a home victory is clearly the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.

Result
Stirling Albion	Draw	Forfar Athletic
56.26% ( 2.08)	22.82% ( -0.53)	20.91% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.19% (

0.45)

45.8% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.88% (

0.42)

68.12% (

-0.42)

Stirling Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

0.89)

16.09% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

1.6)

45.48% (

-1.6)

Forfar Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-1.23)

36.02% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-1.28)

72.8% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Stirling Albion 56.26%

Forfar Athletic 20.91%

Draw 22.82%

Stirling Albion	Draw	Forfar Athletic
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.91%