Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.