Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.