St Johnstone

5 - 1

East Fife

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.