Dumbarton

1 - 2

Stenhousemuir

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.