Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.