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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Rotherham logo

Portsmouth
3 - 0
Rotherham

Robertson (35'), Harness (59'), Hirst (65')
Robertson (5'), Jacobs (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lindsay (9'), Barlaser (16'), Mattock (56')

Preview: Portsmouth vs. Rotherham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Rotherham United head into Tuesday's fixture at Portsmouth looking for a win which would see them reclaim second position in the League One standings.

At a time when the Millers have lost ground in the promotion race, Portsmouth are now out of contention for the playoffs, capping a disappointing campaign for the South-Coast outfit.


Match preview

Rotherham United manager Paul Warne on February 13, 2022© Reuters

Such has been Rotherham's drop in form of late that they almost blew the chance to win the EFL Trophy last weekend, Paul Warne's side requiring a last-gasp equaliser against Sutton United before prevailing 4-2 after extra time.

When all was said and done, the Millers' players, staff and supporters could enjoy the celebrations that followed, but Warne knows that concentration cannot be lost during the closing stages of the season.

Although they sit in third spot and trail MK Dons by three points, Rotherham still have two games in hand, but a 1-0 home defeat to Charlton Athletic on Saturday has further knocked their confidence.

Just five points have been collected from their last six league fixtures, although Warne will point to Rotherham's outstanding away form as a reason why they can get back to their best.

They have gone seven games in all competitions without suffering a defeat on their travels, and that record will be put to the test at Fratton Park.

Portsmouth manager Danny Cowley pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Portsmouth have endured a dismal recent run of results, collecting just three points from five outings and failing to win any of those fixtures.

Those three draws have come against Ipswich Town, Wycombe Wanderers and Bolton Wanderers, solid results in isolation, but Danny Cowley will recognise that it has been another season of under-achievement.

Despite having at least one game in hand on the teams above them, Portsmouth are 13 points adrift of the playoffs with six matches left, a scenario which effectively leaves them out of the running for a return to the Championship.

Holding a six-point gap above 12th place, Pompey do not look in any danger of dropping into the mid-table spots, but Cowley will not be satisfied unless the South-coast outfit return to the top 10.

On a more positive note, Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last six home fixtures, collecting 14 points from those contests.

Portsmouth League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Rotherham United League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Rotherham United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Rotherham United's Freddie Ladapo celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 13, 2022© Reuters

Cowley will almost certainly freshen up his Portsmouth starting lineup with Joe Morrell and Michael Jacobs both pushing for opportunities in midfield.

George Hirst should get the nod over either Aiden O'Brien or Tyler Walker in the final third after Portsmouth drew a blank against Cheltenham Town.

Defender Angus MacDonald remains sidelined for Rotherham as he continues to serve a three-match suspension.

Jordi Osei-Tutu could be recalled in one of the wing-back positions, most likely in place of Shane Ferguson on the left flank.

Having remained as an unused substitute at the weekend, Joshua Kayode may come into the attack, taking the spot of Freddie Ladapo.

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bazunu; Romeo, Carter, Raggett, Ogilvie; Jacobs, Tunnicliffe, Morrell, Curtis; Hirst, Walker

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Harding, Wood, Ihiekwe; Ogbene, Rathbone, Barlaser, Wiles, Osei-Tutu; Kayode, Smith


SM words green background

We say: Portsmouth 1-1 Rotherham United

With neither team firing on all cylinders of late, do not expect this contest to be full of quality. However, both clubs possess a strong desire to get back on track, and it could lead to a competitive share of the spoils being played out.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:482924:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8994:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Rotherham

Portsmouth
34.9%
Draw
27.9%
Rotherham United
37.2%
86
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Rotherham United's Freddie Ladapo celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 13, 2022
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24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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