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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2021 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena
New England Revolution

NY Red Bulls
2 - 3
New England

Jose Carmona Torres (8'), Gomes (63')
Casseres Jr (34'), Clark (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bou (60'), Bye (84'), Buksa (90+1')
McNamara (39'), Ingvi Traustason (45+1')

Preview: New York Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The New York Red Bulls will renew their rivalry with the New England Revolution this weekend as they wrap up the month of July with a matinee affair at Red Bull Arena.

It will be a match up of two teams heading in the opposite direction, with New York winless in their last three encounters, while the Revs lead the Supporters' Shield standings and have won their last three matches.


Match preview

New York Red Bulls manager Gerhard Struber after the game on May 29, 2021© Reuters

While struggling to sustain a high level of intensity for 90 minutes, consistency has become an issue for the Red Bulls lately, as they have fallen below the playoff line in the East in ninth place, four points behind CF Montreal.

Last Sunday, their manager Gerhard Struber said that his players lacked the hunger and desire needed versus DC United, firing only one shot on target, despite having 61% possession, as they ultimately lost 1-0.

Over the past two weeks, they have not executed their forward running very effectively, and they have created very few scoring opportunities against two sides in DC and Toronto, who are on the outside of the playoff bubble with TFC conceding the most goals in MLS (32).

New York will be happy to be returning to Red Bull Arena, which has become a bit of a fortress lately and a place in which the Red Bulls are unbeaten in their last five games.

Playing a more wide-open style against a team as potent as New England may not be the best strategy this weekend, as the Red Bulls have conceded three goals in each of their two matches versus the Revs this year, losing both times.

There are traditionally many goals scored in this league, but New York do not have the depth to match New England in the goalscoring department.

New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021© Reuters

With three wins in nine days, the New England Revolution have proven that they can respond and play well in the face of adversity.

A few weeks ago, Bruce Arena and his side suffered their first minor setback of the season, going winless in three straight games.

New England used their 10-day break in between their 3-2 defeat to Toronto and their game with Atlanta United to fix their shaky defence, and that work has paid off, as they have kept two clean sheets on their current three-game winning streak while scoring eight goals.

The Revs know how to score on the road, with over half of their goals so far this year (16 of 30) coming away from home.

What has to be encouraging for this team is that virtually the entire roster have contributed to this team's success, as Arena has utilized 18 different players over their nine-day stretch, where they captured nine points.

They have done all of this despite not having two of their key contributors, who are away on international duty at the Gold Cup, which is a testament as to how talented this group really is.

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

New England Revolution Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

New York Red Bulls teammates celebrates after the game against the Orlando City SC on May 29, 2021© Reuters

Midfielder Youba Diarra remains sidelined with a muscle injury, centre-back Aaron Long is out for the season with an Achilles tendon rupture, Andres Reyes has a hamstring problem, Sean Nealis has a thigh injury alongside Daniel Royer, while Andrew Gutman was an unused substitute last Sunday, having recovered from a minor knee issue.

Fabio is without a goal in his last three fixtures, while their joint-leading goalscorer Caden Clark has not found the back of the net since May 29 in a 2-1 win over Orlando City.

The Red Bulls made two changes to their starting lineup versus DC from their previous match as Clark replaced Frankie Amaya in midfield, and their other top goalscorer Cristian Casseres started instead of Wikelman Carmona.

Goalkeeper Matt Turner and winger Tajon Buchanan have been integral parts of the success of the United States and Canada respectively at the Gold Cup, and both will not be available for the Revs this weekend.

Striker Gustavo Bou has found his goalscoring form with three goals in his last three games, including a brace against Montreal, and he now has nine for the season, which is good for third in MLS behind Chicharito and Raul Ruidiaz.

Defensive midfielder Luis Caicedo is out with a leg injury, Matt Polster logged his 10th 90-minute match over the weekend, Carles Gil recorded his league-leading 13th assist and Andrew Farrell made his 255th appearance for the team, surpassing Matt Reis for third all-time.

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Carlos; Tolkin, Tarek, Pendant, Duncan; Clark, Davis, Amaya; Carmona; Fabio, Klimala

New England Revolution possible starting lineup:
Knighton; Bye, Farrell, Bell, DeLaGarza; Caldwell, Polster, Traustason; Gil; Buksa, Bou


SM words green background

We say: New York Red Bulls 2-1 New England Revolution

There is something about Red Bull Arena that seems to bring out the best in New York, who have won four of their last five fixtures at home, scoring seven goals while conceding only twice.

The Revs may be the best team in the league at the moment, but they have never won at Red Bull Arena, losing in six of their last seven visits there.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs New England

New York Red Bulls
36.1%
Draw
36.1%
New England Revolution
27.8%
36
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New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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