MX23RW : Wednesday, April 23 03:59:20| >> :600:181082:181082:
[monks data]
Reading logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
QPR logo

Reading
1 - 1
QPR

Meite (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dykes (45')
Chair (52')

Preview: Reading vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Reading will be hoping to cling onto their place in the Championship playoffs when they host Queens Park Rangers on Saturday.

Results in midweek mean that the Royals have slipped to sixth, while QPR have found their feet too late in the campaign to mount their own playoff push and sit in 12th.


Match preview

George Puscas celebrates scoring for Reading against Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Reading were beaten 2-1 by relegation-threatened Birmingham City for the second time this season on Wednesday night, and they saw Barnsley leapfrog them in the table as the Tykes beat Wycombe Wanderers.

It was a first defeat in five games for Veljko Paunovic's side, who are now only two points ahead of seventh-placed Bournemouth.

Paunovic said post-match that "there is no time to lose" and that "we have nine finals" left to play as the race for the top six heats up, with an Easter Friday trip to Barnsley after the international break to come.

Reading have won their last two home games and kept clean sheets in both, having lost their previous three at the Madejski Stadium, while they are the only Championship team yet to draw a home fixture this season.

Michael Olise's 89th-minute strike gave the Royals a 1-0 win at Loftus Road in December, leaving QPR with just one victory in their last six games against the Berkshire outfit.

Queens Park Rangers QPR manager Mark Warburton pictured in February 2021© Reuters

However, the Rs are in good form, having won three of their previous four matches and their 3-2 victory over Millwall on Wednesday came in dramatic fashion.

The capital outfit trailed by two goals at the break, but Charlie Austin, Stefan Johansen and Jordy de Wijs – all January loan signings – struck in an inspired second half to turn the game around.

Had the season started on January 1, QPR would be fifth in the table and only three teams have conceded fewer goals in that period.

If they can get a result against Reading then there is potential for Mark Warburton's side to end the campaign on a high as their next four games after the international break are all against teams below them.

Rangers have won four of their last six away games, having only picked up one victory from their first 12 matches on the road this season.

Reading Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Queens Park Rangers Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Andy Rinomhota and Ovie Ejaria returned from recent injuries to appear as substitutes in Reading's loss to Birmingham, and the pair will be looking to play from the start on Saturday.

Rinomhota's return could lead to Tom McIntyre dropping back into the centre of the defence, where the Royals are hugely missing Michael Morrison, who should be available after the international break.

Sam Field and Ilias Chair are expected to return to the QPR starting lineup at the Madejski Stadium; the pair were surprisingly left on the bench against Millwall before coming on in the second half, with Warburton insisting he was keen to look after their fitness.

Lyndon Dykes made it 21 appearances without a goal on Wednesday night so Warburton may decide to revert back to deploying Austin as a lone striker in attack.

Reading possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Yiadom, Moore, McIntyre, Richards; Laurent, Rinomhota; Meite, Olise, Ejaria; Joao

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Dieng; Dickie, De Wijs, Barbet; Kane, Johansen, Field, Wallace; Chair, Willock; Austin


SM words green background

We say: Reading 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With a tough run-in after the international break, Reading will know this is a must-win game, and we think that the Royals will just snatch victory on home turf. QPR performed a superb turnaround on Wednesday, but they may not be allowed such an opportunity against a better side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



ID:439718:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8945:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Reading vs QPR

Reading
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Reading
59.0%
Draw
18.0%
Queens Park Rangers
23.0%
61
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Queens Park Rangers QPR manager Mark Warburton pictured in February 2021
Read Next:
Mark Warburton admits QPR "paid the price" against Huddersfield
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!