MX23RW : Monday, September 16 11:34:28| >> :60:36:36:
Stranraer
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
Annan Athletic

Stranraer
1 - 5
Annan

Dunlop (29')
Ross (10'), Russell (22'), Hawkshaw (53'), Gallagher (77'), Cummins (85')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Smith (7', 90'), Gibson (38' pen.), Wood (42'), Dixon (61')
Muir (12')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Stranraer and Annan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-0 Stranraer
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 5-1 Annan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawAnnan Athletic
36.84% (0.405 0.41) 24.45% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 38.71% (-0.477 -0.48)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-0.32 -0.32)43.09% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-0.317 -0.32)65.49% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)23.18% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.102 0.1)57.07% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.375 -0.38)22.22% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.571 -0.57)55.65% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 36.84%
    Annan Athletic 38.71%
    Draw 24.45%
StranraerDrawAnnan Athletic
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.057 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.71%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Annan
3-1
Stranraer
Kilsby (44'), Docherty (51'), Smith (55')
Gibson (38')
McDonald (38')
Williamson (40'), Forrest (81')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Stranraer
1-1
Annan
Hawkshaw (58')
Wallace (7')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Annan
1-1
Stranraer
Galloway (2')
Hilton (65')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stranraer
1-0
Annan
Woods (26' pen.)
Malcolm (43'), Forrest (59'), McLean (87')

Goss (42')
rhs 2.0
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