Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.