Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.