MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:09:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
4 - 1
Gornik

Naranjo (7'), Imaz (17'), Wdowik (45'), Marczuk (64')
Romanczuk (33'), Wdowik (42')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Musiolik (38')
Yokota (5'), Janza (80')
Lukoszek (43')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawGornik Zabrze
43.66% (0.325 0.33) 25.17% (-0.117 -0.12) 31.17% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.7% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (0.435 0.43)47.69% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.4 0.4)69.89% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (0.337 0.34)21.83% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.508 0.51)55.06% (-0.503 -0.5)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.083999999999989 0.08)28.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.102 0.1)64.57% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 43.66%
    Gornik Zabrze 31.17%
    Draw 25.17%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.17%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan97111731422
2KS CracoviaCracovia96121712519
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia96031616018
4Rakow CzestochowaRakow9522114717
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin105141613316
6Widzew Lodz104421311216
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice9432108215
8Legia WarsawLegia94231610614
9Katowice103341213-112
10Gornik ZabrzeGornik93241212011
11Radomiak Radom83051415-19
12Motor Lublin9234611-59
13Lechia GdanskGdansk102351219-79
14Korona Kielce9234613-79
15Puszcza Niepolomice91531011-18
16Zaglebie Lubin9225614-88
17Stal Mielec821559-47
18Slask Wroclaw7043611-54
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!