Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Quarter-Finals

Jul 31, 2021 at 12pm UK

Nissan Stadium

South Korea U23s
3 - 6
Mexico U23s

Lee (20', 51'), Ui-jo (90+1')
Jeong (34'), Yoon-Sung (38'), Won (49')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Martin (12', 54'), Romo (30'), Cordova (39' pen., 63'), Aguirre (84')
Vasquez (32'), Sanchez (76'), Angulo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between South Korea Under-23s and Mexico Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for South Korea Under-23s had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest South Korea Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.

Result
South Korea Under-23s	Draw	Mexico Under-23s
37.08%	23.83%	39.08%

Both teams to score 62.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.93%

40.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56%

62.43%

South Korea Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15%

54.84%

Mexico Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66%

53.33%

Score Analysis

South Korea Under-23s 37.08%

Mexico Under-23s 39.08%

Draw 23.83%

South Korea Under-23s	Draw	Mexico Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.08%	1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.08%