NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Oval

Glentoran
1 - 2
Larne

Bolger (57' og.)
McCartan (68'), Donnelly (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ryan (8'), Russell (90+6' og.)
Graham (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions

Last Game: Coleraine 2-1 Glentoran
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Larne

All competitions

Last Game: Larne 8-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Glentoran	Draw	Larne
35.5% ( 0.06)	25.93% ( -0.07)	38.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

0.29)

49.91% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

0.26)

71.9% (

-0.26)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

0.18)

27.1% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

0.23)

62.48% (

-0.23)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.14)

25.36% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

0.19)

60.15% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Glentoran 35.5%

Larne 38.57%

Draw 25.93%

Glentoran	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.5%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.57%