Carrick

1 - 3

Glenavon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.