MX23RW : Monday, November 25 12:17:46| >> :600:590916:590916:
[monks data]
Newport County
EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Sep 30, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newcastle logo

Newport
1 - 1
Newcastle

Abrahams (5')
Amond (31')
FT
(aet)
Shelvey (87')
Shelvey (16')
Newcastle win 5-4 on penalties

Preview: Newport County vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup fourth-round clash between Newport County and Newcastle United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Newport County will be looking to pull off another EFL Cup giant killing when they play host to Newcastle United for Wednesday's fourth-round clash.

Newport have knocked out Swansea City, Cambridge United and Watford to reach round four, while Newcastle have overcome Blackburn Rovers and Morecambe en route to the last 16.


Match preview

Newport County boss Mike Flynn pictured in August 2019© Reuters

Having reached the fourth round of the EFL Cup for the first time in the club's history, Michael Flynn's current crop of Newport players now have the chance to etch their names into the history books when they welcome Premier League opposition to Rodney Parade.

Prior to the 2020-21 campaign, Newport had only ever gone as far as the second round - the stage where they had been knocked out three times in a row between 2017 and 2019.

Whatever happens on Wednesday night, the League Two outfit can be incredibly proud of what they have achieved as the only non-Premier League or Championship side left in the competition.

Newport's preparations for this historic encounter could hardly have gone smoother - Flynn's men enjoyed a 2-0 victory over Bolton Wanderers at the weekend and have taken seven points from a possible nine in the fourth tier thus far.

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured during his side's match at West Ham United on September 12, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Newcastle were indebted to the controversial handball rule at the weekend as Callum Wilson rescued a point from 12 yards against Tottenham Hotspur.

Steve Bruce's men have endured a mixed start to their Premier League campaign - winning one, losing one and drawing one - but the Magpies must now turn their attention to the EFL Cup as they bid to avoid a shock exit to League Two opposition.

As is the case with Newport, Newcastle have also been sent packing in the second round three times in a row before this season, and the Magpies have never advanced further than the quarter-final stage in this competition.

Newcastle overcame Morecambe 7-0 in the third round to set up a tie with Newport, so while the Exiles faithful can be allowed to dream of a famous victory in midweek, Flynn's men will no doubt be preparing for a Newcastle onslaught.

The two clubs have met three times down the years, with Newport prevailing in the last fixture back in 1947, but Newcastle recorded a 13-0 victory when the clubs faced off in October 1946 - their biggest win in the club's 127-year history.

Newport County EFL Cup form: WWW
Newport County form (all competitions): LDWWWW

Newcastle United EFL Cup form: WW
Newcastle United form (all competitions): WWLWD


Team News

Newport County's Tristan Abrahams celebrates scoring against Watford in the EFL Cup on September 22, 2020© Reuters

Padraig Amond conceded his place up top to Ryan Taylor at the weekend, but the Irishman will be hoping that his goal against Watford will be enough to earn him a start in midweek.

Tristan Abrahams - who bagged one against Watford and a brace against Bolton - already has five goals to his name this season in all competitions, with three of those coming in the EFL Cup. Only West Ham United's Sebastien Haller has more in the competition.

As for Newcastle, Bruce is expected to shuffle the pack for the midweek showdown, with the Magpies manager already forced into one change owing to Matt Ritchie's injury against Tottenham.

Jamal Lewis will therefore start at left-back, while the attacking duo of Allan Saint-Maximin and Ryan Fraser have a chance of being involved after missing out the weekend draw.

Elsewhere, Jacob Murphy, Emil Krafth and Sean Longstaff will be vying for starting roles, while Mark Gillespie should also replace Karl Darlow in goal.

Newport County possible starting lineup:
King; Cooper, Dolan, Demetriou; Shephard, Sheehan, Labbadie, Collins, Haynes; Amond, Abrahams

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Gillespie; Krafth, Lascelles, Fernandez, Lewis; Murphy, Longstaff, Hayden, Fraser; Carroll, Joelinton


SM words green background

We say: Newport County 1-3 Newcastle United

Newport have already gone further than they ever have before in this competition and have every right to dream of making the quarter finals. While Flynn's side deserve a huge amount of credit for overcoming two Championship sides en route to round four, Newcastle showed no mercy to Morecambe and will simply have too much quality for the League Two outfit, so we expect the Newport journey to end here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).


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Data Failed

Who will progress to the fifth round of the EFL Cup - Newport or Newcastle?

Newport
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Newcastle
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