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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Apr 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
New York Red Bulls

New England
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Kessler (25'), Buksa (90+3')
Buksa (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Polster (90' og.)
Amaya (33'), Barlow (35'), Yearwood (45')
Amaya (73')

Preview: New England Revolution vs. New York Red Bulls - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

New England Revolution will be hoping to return to winning ways tomorrow when they welcome New York Red Bulls to the Gillette Stadium.

As for the visitors, they have lost just once in their opening four matches, ensuring that they enter the weekend in fifth position in the Eastern Conference.


Match preview

New England Revolution midfielder Carles Gil (10) reacts with midfielders Brandon Bye (15) and Sebastian Lletget (17) after making a penalty kick in the second half at Bank of America Stadium on March 20, 2022© Reuters

Confidence will be at a premium after New England lost their last three matches in all competitions, including a 3-1 defeat against Charlotte FC last time out.

Real Salt Lake City condemned the Revs to their first defeat of the season on March 13, and a second loss quickly followed when U.N.A.M beat New England 3-0 in their second leg of their CONCACAF Champions League contest.

The result brought the tie back to 3-3 on aggregate after the Revs had won 3-0 in the home leg, but with momentum in their favour, U.N.A.M won the subsequent penalty shootout to eliminate their MLS opponents from the competition.

Charlotte FC piled more misery upon Bruce Arena's side with the latest expansion team winning 3-1 to claim their first-ever MLS victory.

Having played back-to-back away matches across all competitions, New England will be grateful to return to home comforts this weekend and the hosts will be looking to take inspiration from the fact that they have beaten New York Red Bulls in their previous three competitive meetings.

New York Red Bulls head coach Gerhard Struber coaches during the first half against the Columbus Crew at Red Bull Arena on March 20, 2022© Reuters

NY Red Bulls may have lost just one of their opening four matches, but after starting the new season with back-to-back victories, they will be frustrated that their last two outings have resulted in just a single point.

Opening the campaign with two away fixtures may have worried Gerhard Struber, but as it proved it was a challenge that his side rose to, with San Jose Earthquakes swept aside via a 3-1 scoreline before a trip to Canada resulted in a 4-1 victory over Toronto FC.

Surprisingly, it has been at the Red Bull Arena where NY Red Bulls have failed to impress, with a loss to Minnesota United followed by a 1-1 draw against Columbus Crew in their most recent outing.

The meeting with the Crew looked to be heading towards a goalless draw before Tom Barlow netted in the 84th minute for the Red Bulls, but Barlow and his teammates were denied a first home victory of the season when Darlington Nagbe scored a dramatic equaliser in the fifth minute of stoppage time.

Although they will be disappointed by their last two results, the Red Bulls are still yet to drop points on the road this season, and they will look to keep that record intact on Saturday.

New England Revolution Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

New England Revolution form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

New England Revolution midfielder Emmanuel Boateng (11) celebrates after scoring a goal during the first half against the Real Salt Lake at Gillette Stadium on March 12, 2022© Reuters

With Matt Turner still out injured, New England will continue to line up with Earl Edwards Jr in goal.

Emmanuel Boateng has started the last two MLS matches for the Revs and the 28-year-old is set to retain his place in the side for Saturday's contest.

The New England line is set to be led by Jozy Altidore, who was given his first start for the Revs against Charlotte last time out.

NY Red Bulls, meanwhile, are still without the services of Cameron Harper, Wikelman Carmona and Andres Reyes due to injury issues.

Struber is expected to continue with a back three made up of Thomas Edwards, Sean Nealis and Aaron Long.

The Red Bulls boss could, however, make at least one change to the side that started against Columbus Crew, with Cristian Casseres set to replace Dylan Nealis in the starting lineup.

New England Revolution possible starting lineup:
Edwards Jr.; Bye, Gonzalez, Bell, Jones; Polster, McNamara; Lletget, Gil, Boateng; Altidore

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Carlos; Edwards, S. Nealis, Long; Morgan, Amaya, Yearwood, Tolkin; Morgan, Fernandez, Klimala


SM words green background

We say: New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Although the Revs have endured a poor run of form, they have fared well against the NY Red Bulls in recent times, and we think they will utilise home advantage to claim all three points on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: New England vs NY Red Bulls

New England Revolution
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
New York Red Bulls
40.0%
5
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New York City forward Talles Magno (43), center, is congratulated after scoring his second goal of the game in the second half against Santos de Guapiles at Banc of California Stadium on February 24, 2022
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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