Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.