Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.