Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.