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National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
0 - 1
Truro City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Porter (73')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Hampton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawTruro City
45.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 24.47% (-0.023 -0.02) 29.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.077999999999996 0.08)45.32% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.076000000000001 0.08)67.66% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.86% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.116 0.12)51.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.58% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)64.38% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 45.89%
    Truro City 29.64%
    Draw 24.47%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.64%

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