National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
The Brewery Field
Spennymoor2 - 1Darlington
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Darlington.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 4-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Darlington |
46.81% ( 0.09) | 25.26% ( -0.03) | 27.93% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
