National League North | Gameweek 41

May 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 2
Gateshead

Blyth (27'), Tomlinson (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnay (49'), Bailey (67')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

Last Six:

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Kidderminster Harriers	41	36	71
5	Chorley	41	15	65
6	York City	41	8	65

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Gateshead
43.67%	25.2%	31.13%

Both teams to score 55.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.2%

47.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.01%

69.99%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13%

21.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.88%

55.12%

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18%

28.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.67%

Score Analysis

Chorley 43.67%

Gateshead 31.13%

Draw 25.2%

Chorley	Draw	Gateshead
1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.13%