Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Spennymoor Town
45.46% ( -1.08)	24.73% ( -0.19)	29.81% ( 1.28)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64% (

1.54)

46.36% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.36% (

1.44)

68.64% (

-1.44)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

0.16)

20.47% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

0.26)

52.93% (

-0.26)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

1.69)

28.98% (

-1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

2.05)

64.88% (

-2.05)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 45.46%

Spennymoor Town 29.81%

Draw 24.72%

Chester FC	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.81%