Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 2-1 (5.28%).