Alfreton

2 - 2

Chester

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.