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Mozambique national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Malawi national football team

Mozambique
2 - 0
Malawi

J. Tesoura Junior (55' pen.), Nelson Simbine (68')
Muze (53'), J. Tesoura Junior (60'), M. Nangy (65'), A. Siluane (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chirwa (14'), Kuwali (22')

Preview: Mozambique vs. Malawi - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's COSAFA Cup clash between Mozambique and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides still awaiting their first COSAFA Cup victory clash at the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium on Sunday when Mozambique tackle Malawi.

The teams have picked up one point apiece so far, but neither of them has got up to full speed in the opening stages of the competition.


Match preview

Malawi were left kicking themselves after they surrendered a two-goal advantage in a 1-1 draw versus Zimbabwe on Friday.

Goals from Khuda Muyaba and Schumacher Kumali had put Bob Mpinganjira's men in the box seat, but they were pegged back in the final 20 minutes of the match courtesy of goals from Blessing Sarupinda and Ben Musaka.

The Flames are in fourth place in Group B as things stand, with a game in hand on three of the other five group members.

Sunday's game in Port Elizabeth is the third COSAFA Cup meeting between the outfits in the last six editions of the tournament.

A quarter-final tie in 2015 which Mozambique won on penalties preceded a group-stage contest four years later which ended all square.

Mozambique need some picking up following a narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of Senegal in their second Group B fixture on Friday.

Horacio Goncalves's men were level heading into the break, but they were eventually undone by a Pape Massar Djitte strike just past the hour mark.

Os Mambas were unable to add to a hard-fought point gained on Wednesday courtesy of an impressive 0-0 draw versus Zimbabwe.

Sitting bottom-but-one heading into their third outing on Sunday, they are gradually entering the last chance saloon if they are to avoid a second consecutive first-round exit.

Mozambique COSAFA Cup form:
  • D
  • L

Mozambique form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Malawi COSAFA Cup form:
  • D

Malawi form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

With his opener against Zimbabwe, Khuda Muyaba opened his account for Malawi, and he will hope that it is the first of many more to come.

Like Muyaba, 25-year-old Schumacher Kuwali also netted his first senior national-team goal ever in the aforementioned game.

After seeing his side fail to find the back of the net for the second game running, Horacio Goncalves may contemplate making some changes to his attack.

Vitinho could finally get a chance to impress right from the off following consecutive cameo appearances off the bench in the past two matches.

Mozambique possible starting lineup:
Ernan; Muze, Martinho, Simbane, Cigano; Macaime, Salas, Shaquille; Telinho, Novela, Melito

Malawi possible starting lineup:
Kakhobwe; Sanudi, Nyasulu, Kawonga, Mwale; Idana, Mkwate, Selemani; Muyaba, Harrison, Davie


SM words green background

We say: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi

The two teams are yet to really get going but still have enough to serve up a decent contest. While a point does not necessarily do either side any favours, losing is simply not an option. On that note, we are backing a share of the spoils with goals at both ends.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Mozambique vs Malawi

Mozambique
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Malawi
33.3%
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