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[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium MK
Doncaster Rovers

MK Dons
0 - 1
Doncaster


McEachran (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dodoo (41')
Olowu (58'), Horton (81'), Barlow (90+3')

Preview: MK Dons vs. Doncaster Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sides at opposite ends of the League One table will lock horns on Saturday, as MK Dons welcome Doncaster Rovers to Stadium MK.

The hosts have established themselves in the playoff places with a five-game unbeaten run, while their visitors are stuck to the foot of the division.


Match preview

MK Dons manager Liam Manning celebrates after the game on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Following the departure of Russell Martin in the summer, MK Dons made the decision to appoint Liam Manning as their new manager, and the 36-year-old has enjoyed a strong start to life with the third-tier club.

With 13 wins and 46 points from their opening 26 league outings, the Dons sit fifth having recently climbed further thanks to a five-game unbeaten run, firstly earning a 3-2 win away at Lincoln City before playing out draws against Gillingham and Accrington Stanley.

Manning's men then returned to winning ways against rivals AFC Wimbledon, as Matt O'Riley hit the only goal of the game on the half-hour mark, before they picked up an impressive 2-1 win away at Portsmouth last time out thanks to goals from Mohamed Eisa and Theo Corbeanu.

Now sitting fifth with a three-point lead over seventh-placed Oxford United, the Stadium MK side will aim to stretch their unbeaten league run and bolster their claim for a playoff place with another victory on Saturday.

Doncaster Rovers' Joe Dodoo scores their first goal on January 18, 2022© Reuters

They welcome a Doncaster Rovers side languishing at the bottom of the table with quickly diminishing hopes of survival.

Having won just four of their 26 league games, earning 16 points, the Yorkshire outfit find themselves 11 points adrift of safety and come into Saturday's game in a run of five straight league defeats.

After picking up a rare 1-0 home win against Shrewsbury Town, Gary McSheffrey's side were thrashed 3-0 by Sunderland and went on to suffer late heartbreak at the hands of Morecambe, eventually losing 4-3 despite leading heading into the final 10 minutes.

Since then, the Reds have suffered narrow defeats at the hands of Fleetwood Town and Wigan Athletic and saw their losing run stretched to five games last time out as Harvey Knibbs, Harrison Dunk and Sam Smith got on the scoresheet in a 3-1 home victory for Cambridge United.

With 11 points to make up in 20 league games, hope is not yet completely lost for the Keepmoat outfit, but any chance of survival would certainly require a monumental positive swing in their form in the coming months, and McSheffrey will hope that his side can trigger that change with a surprise win on their travels.

MK Dons League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

MK Dons form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Doncaster Rovers League One form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

MK Dons' Matt O'Riley celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 11, 2022© Reuters

MK Dons will have to deal with the enforced loss of Peter Kioso, who recently returned to Luton Town after an impressive loan spell.

Manning only made one outfield change for their recent trip to Portsmouth, and he could again deploy a similar starting XI in his preferred 3-4-3 system, albeit with one enforced change at the back.

The loan signing of Theo Corbeanu from Wolverhampton Wanderers has bolstered the front three, and the Canadian international netted his first goal for the club at the second time of asking last time out.

Joe Dodoo will lead the Doncaster Rovers line with renewed confidence after netting his first goal of the season last time out, while January arrival Kieran Agard brings another dimension on the flanks.

McSheffrey will likely deploy an unchanged midfield trio of Tommy Rowe, Ethan Galbraith and Matt Smith with Joseph Olowu and Kyle Knoyle partnering up at the heart of a back four.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Cumming; Baldwin, O'Hora, Lewington; Watson, O'Riley, Robson, Harvey; Corbeanu, Eisa, Twine

Doncaster Rovers possible starting lineup:
Jones; Seaman, Knoyle, Olowu, Horton; Smith, Galbraith, Rowe; Agard, Dodoo, Bogle


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 2-0 Doncaster Rovers

Given the form and quality of the two sides, we can only envisage a relatively comfortable home victory on Saturday.

MK Dons have taken huge strides this season, excelling at both ends of the pitch, and they should cruise past the basement side given their impressive momentum.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs Doncaster

MK Dons
63.6%
Draw
36.4%
Doncaster Rovers
0.0%
11
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General view of MK Dons' Stadium MK from 2018
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Tables header RHS
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21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
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23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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