Ligue 2 | Gameweek 11

Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Auguste Bonal

Sochaux
2 - 1
St Etienne

Agouzoul (3'), Doumbia (48')
Weissbeck (40'), Doumbia (45+1'), Aaneba (56'), Faussurier (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Krasso (69' pen.)
Palencia (19'), Giraudon (36')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Sochaux and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochaux

All competitions

Last Game: Valenciennes 2-1 Sochaux
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 2-2 Grenoble
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.

Result
Sochaux	Draw	Saint-Etienne
57.95% ( 1.64)	23.4% ( -0.55)	18.65% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 48.3% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.85% (

0.76)

51.15% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27% (

0.66)

73% (

-0.66)

Sochaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.88)

17.4% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17% (

1.51)

47.83% (

-1.51)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48% (

-0.77)

41.53% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-0.69)

78.02% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Sochaux 57.93%

Saint-Etienne 18.65%

Draw 23.4%

Sochaux	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 57.93%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.65%