Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Pau had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.