Ligue 2 | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Bastia |
41.62% ( -2.14) | 27.66% ( 0.77) | 30.72% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( -2.35) | 57.79% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( -1.89) | 78.52% ( 1.89) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( -2.2) | 27.35% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.19% ( -2.94) | 62.81% ( 2.94) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.22) | 34.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.08% ( -0.23) | 70.91% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 41.62%
Bastia 30.71%
Draw 27.65%
| Metz | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.71% |
How you voted: Metz vs Bastia
Metz
60.0%Draw
0.0%Bastia
40.0%5
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
3-2
Bastia
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
Feb 7, 2015 7pm
