Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
