Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 47.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.