MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 06:35:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Monaco

Toulouse
1 - 1
Monaco

Magri (90+1')
Cresswell (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minamino (17')
Mawissa (1'), Embolo (74'), Akliouche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 0-4 Toulouse
Sunday, March 2 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Reims
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco

Toulouse have been excellent in their last two matches and will be confident of picking up a positive result on Friday night. That said, Monaco have so much quality in the forward areas, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points at Stadium de Toulouse. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
33.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.77% (0.0019999999999989 0) 41.31% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.71% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)60.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.92%
    Monaco 41.31%
    Draw 24.77%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.31%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
Draw
Monaco
Toulouse
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Monaco
70.0%
100
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Singo (50'), Embolo (82')
Embolo (69'), Teze (90+1')

Aboukhlal (37'), Casseres Jr (71')
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
Ben Yedder (26', 44')
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille30174962422055
3MonacoMonaco30166857352254
4Nice31159759392054
5Lille30158747321553
6Lyon30156958411751
7StrasbourgStrasbourg30149748371151
8Lens30136113533245
9Brest30135124849-144
10Rennes30122164540538
11Auxerre30108124145-438
12Toulouse3097143839-134
13Reims3088143242-1032
14NantesNantes30710133550-1531
15Angers3086162948-1930
16Le HavreLe Havre3083193364-3127
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3076173368-3527
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3043232271-4915


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!